Polls by Puerto Rico’s major TV and newspaper last December showed that statehood was the most popular option — but that fewer than half of those polled would choose it.
At 43 and 41 percent respectively, statehood was more popular than Commonwealth (35%) or Independence (4%), but still not popular enough to win.
At that time, 20% of respondents still described themselves as “undecided” or not intending to vote. If all that group should turn either to Commonwealth or to Statehood, there would be a winner in the upcoming plebiscite. Without such a strong outcome, there will be no winner.